Packers vs Bears, Over Under Free Pick, Week 1When the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears kickoff week 1 of 2019 - here is the over under bet that will win you money
Lets get ready for some football!
With the start of the 2019 NFL season only 1 day away, its time to place your bets for week 1.
Now, don't go betting just to bet. That is rule #1 in our NFL betting system. You need to make sure you're betting when you have the "edge".
What does it mean to have the edge? Good question...
When the bettor has an edge they are getting "value" for placing that bet.
Will every edge bet we have be a winner? Of course not, that's impossible. But what it will do is give us a solid winning percentage that will make you tons of money.
How do you get a betting edge? Excellent question! The easiest way - follow us throughout the year. We will provide you excellent free picks in addition to our proprietary NFL betting system.
Enough betting theory. Time to place our bet for the opening game of the year - Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears.
For this opening day matchup, we will look at the over/under. Our over under betting system is showing us value here...lets take a look:
Packers vs Bears Free Over Under Pick:
For this matchup, bookmakers opened this over/under at 46. Money flow (bets) on the over have pushed this total to its current 46.5.
Analyzing this matchup, the UNDER 46.5 looks like a solid value play. Here is why...
Before we get into handicapping, please note - most of this statistical analysis comes from last season's stats. Teams change from season to season, so there could be some inaccuracy here. But...this is all we have at the moment. And as the year goes on...we will get more accurate.
Both offenses were decent last year. When we look at 2018 yards per pass attempt (our most valuable handicapping stat) both Chicago (ranked #14th) and Green Bay (#22) were in the middle of the pack...
Green Bay now has a completely different coaching staff, so we will give them a slight bump...but both are mid-level scoring offenses...
On the defensive side of the ball, Chicago ran the show. In 2018, the Bears ranked #1 in yards per pass attempt allowed (5.8 yards). They also lead the league in points allowed at 18 per game. Solid.
Green Bay's defense was OK. They rank 23rd in yards per pass attempt allowed. This lead to allowing an average of 25 points per game. Middle of the pack...but, with some key personal moves this offseason, they look to be upgraded defensively in 2019. (see Packers' Defense Has Been All The Rage This Summer)
Our custom betting system is showing us a low scoring Packers/Bears matchup. 4-5 combined touchdowns, max. The total should not top 42.
Packers/Bears UNDER 46.5 (medium confidence)
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